European Union leaders announced a "solution" to the Greek sovereign debt crisis during their July 21 meetings. The market reaction, as it was after earlier "solutions", was positive. Yet, many specifics are unresolved, and it is highly unlikely that these actions will resolve the solvency issue once and for all.
The authors believe the U.S. economy is likely to continue to grow, albeit slowly; the European Union is not likely to fracture; and the emerging economies, including China and India, are likely to continue to grow fast enough to help the global economy grow at a near normal pace.
The state of corporate profits, balance sheets and valuations make the author confident that 2011 is a much healthier environment for U.S. equities than 2008. Despite the emotional trauma investors experience in these types of markets, the silver lining is that the capital markets are forcing policymakers to confront the core issues.
This is an environment that will see policy mistakes and prompt many questions and likely new fears. But it is one strong enough to produce the cash flows the world needs to fund the pay-down of long-term debt as well as long-term investors' strategic investment management plans.
While some people are crying out that the U.S. economy is dead or dying, the economy itself seems to be protesting otherwise. Look for continued slow but steady growth in the United States and globally, with commodity prices stabilizing and Japanese supply chain worries easing. But policy and market action are needed to restore investors' confidence.
The hedge fund industry is reinventing business models and best practices to address regulatory changes and investor demands for enhanced fund transparency, liquidity, and efficiency. Investors, fund managers, and regulators are looking to third-party administrators to provide objective risk assessment and reporting.
The authors examine a range of topics, including the narrowing gap between returns on different asset classes, signs of the coming economic upturn, the strategy of alternating between risk-on and risk-off modes, inflation and economic crises around the world, performance of specific asset classes, and innovation as China's next growth driver.
Many individuals are wondering whether the IRS intends to use its new audit unit to develop tax enforcement cases. A former high-ranking executive with the IRS provides answers in this 2011 FOX Financial Executives Forum presentation.
Senior investment professionals look beyond the near term and develop five-year forecasts for economic activity and financial market instruments, including fixed income, equities, real assets and alternatives. Their work can serve as a guide to risks and thematic developments that bear watching by investors.
The world continues to work through a long-term structural shift of economic and political influence to a group of emerging economies, most notably China and India, while the developed world fights the hangover of more than a decade of excessive spending and debt accumulation. These long-term structural changes should drive patterns of economic growth for years to come.