The U.S. economy’s coming decade will be shaped by a tug-of-war between artificial intelligence (AI) and demographics-driven deficits. The victor—and its margin of victory—will determine whether economic growth exceeds its disappointing pace since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009. By focusing on four key variables and assigning probabilities to future outcomes, this “Megatrends” research by Vanguard explores the long-term nature of massive shifts in technology, demographics, and globalization.
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This report, which is rich with actionable data and insights from over 4,576 risk and human resource professionals, is your guide for a proactive, predictive, and disciplined approach to people risk management. It outlines key workforce threats under five pillars of risk—including technological change and disruption, health, well-being and safety, and benefits cost increases—facing employers worldwide and the impact they can have on your organization. Use this report to identify, prioritize, and manage the most critical people risks across your organization.
Today, digital customer experiences are table stakes. Yet, digital transformation is widely misunderstood by business leaders as being primarily focused on digitizing existing processes, moving to the cloud, or enabling scalability of the business. While this was true historically, today digital transformation requires fundamentally changing the direction of your company for future growth.
The 2024 U.S. Presidential election is set as a rematch between current President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. Each candidate’s fiscal priorities have already been on display in their first terms and give insight into second-term agendas. This brief outlook by Asset Consulting Group compares their track records and the market impact, including the growing borrowing costs for the treasury that are putting a greater burden on the federal budget.
Despite cybersecurity being noted as a top priority according to PwC’s 2024 Global Digital Trust Insights survey of 3,876 business and tech executives at the largest global companies, the actual progress on improving security is sluggish, even stagnant. By making one or two bold moves to put security at the epicenter of innovation, the top companies are positioning themselves for greater productivity and faster growth as they dive into new technologies with confidence that they are well protected.
Looking at the economic outlook for the U.S. and across the rest of the globe, Doug McHoney and Alexis Crow at PwC discuss the recession outlook and economic activity of some significant economies, the impact of inflation, central bank policy, including interest rates, commercial real estate and financial stability, currencies and the future of the U.S. Dollar, energy transition, and the U.S. election outlook. As PwC’s Geopolitical Investing Practice Leader, Alexis also speaks about the macrotrends that fascinate her and one thing she is hopeful about in the future.
In an era marked by unprecedented wealth transfer and shifting societal dynamics, philanthropy is being called to actively adjust to a new reality. In the middle of all this, younger people are starting to have a bigger say in where philanthropic money goes. They care more about equity, inclusion, and transparency, as well as changing systems that cause problems.
Since 1986, Byron R. Wein gave his views on a number of economic, financial, and political surprises for the coming year. By “surprise,” Byron defined it as an event that the average investor would only assign a one out of three chances of taking place but which he believed had a better than 50% likelihood of happening. Paying homage to Byron’s annual “10 Surprises” in this video, NEPC’s Phillip Nelson and Tim McCusker discuss their own predictions for 2024—their five market themes for 2024: cost of capital, magnificent 7, U.S. fiscal debt, artificial intelligence, and geopolitics.
The family wealth industry is at a strategic inflection point with a future that’s both bright and turbulent. Wealth professionals will face challenges driven by the rising complexity of the families they serve and the imperative to evolve quickly and serve a broader range of their clients’ needs and expectations.
Time is our most precious, finite, and versatile resource. Family office industry stakeholders are reevaluating their relationship with time—making meaningful behavioral changes to maximize their “return on invested time.” Powerful and practical tools—some borrowed from the field of investment management—can help maximize return on this scarce and treasured asset.