Economic Outlook: U.S. Exceptionalism Continues Through 2025

The past year has ended up being far more resilient to many of the prevailing economic headwinds than we had feared it might be. The shifting consumption patterns, structurally tight labor market, and strong private sector balance sheets with debt that has been locked in at low rates have helped boost consumption and moderate inflationary pressures. As “the year of testing resiliency” came to a close, many may have wondered what to expect in 2025. In this Economic Outlook, Macro Analyst Richard de Chazal sees U.S. exceptionalism continuing and explores consumer spending, inflation, the strength of the U.S. dollar, and more.