The surprise result of the British referendum to leave the European Union this June sent shockwaves through the markets and some investors expected additional fallout down the road. It seems the opposite has been happening. Recent data from the U.K. Office for National Statistics showed the British economy grew by 0.7 percent in the second quarter and just above consensus expectations.
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The United States presidential election season has certainly been emotionally charged and, in many ways, unlike any we’ve seen in recent history. For many, Hillary Clinton represents the continuation of Democratic policies currently in place under the Obama administration. Donald Trump, on the other hand, represents the potential for a shift in policy. Both now turn their attention to a series of debates, where each candidate will provide voters with more detail about key elements of their plan.
Now that school is back in session, it’s important for students to take stock of what they know as they embrace a new year of learning. It’s also a good time for investors to assess the events of the summer and make sure they are well-positioned for the future. In Jeff Mortimer’s latest Investment Update he reviews the events of the summer and discusses uncertainties related to Brexit, central bank policy actions and the upcoming U.S. presidential election in order to better prepare investors for what may lie ahead.
In this unique presentation, Denise Shull and Bill Long will outline a radical view on the role of feelings and emotions in investment decisions. While conventional wisdom tells us to “remove the emotions” when it comes to investing, Denise Shull, drawing upon her years of study in neuroscience and her extensive trading experience, will explain the basics of neuroscience and how to re-think your thinking about market risk.
Investors were recently challenged after the U.K. referendum on membership in the European Union (the Brexit vote). Although the polls predicted a tight race, the markets were signaling that a vote to remain would prevail. As the facts of the market changed, it was critical that opinions adapted to evaluate whether an investor was on track to reach his or her investment goals or if a change in route was in order. Without denying the longer-term ramifications of Brexit, there are strong supporting indicators that give confidence in the overall health of the global economy.
Real estate has long been recognized as a diversification vehicle within investment portfolios and often is held in one of two ways: physical real estate and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). Although REITs were first created in the early 1960s and have played a notable role for investors since the 1990s, they have not always been a requirement within portfolios for traditional equity investment managers.
With the U.S. election just months away, many are curious what the future holds for the economy and how new political leadership will impact their portfolios. Adding to the uncertainty is the fallout from Brexit and the looming changes that are sure to impact the European Union and beyond. In his mid-year economic forecast, FOX member and Atlantic Trust’s David Donabedian shared his projections on the critical drivers affecting investments and the ramifications expected from changes in the political landscape, both in the U.S. and abroad.
The United Kingdom's Brexit vote was shocking but not surprising. Polling prior to the vote consistently showed a close contest, with "Leave" often in the lead. The Brexit outcome created uncertainty for the financial outlook and markets. Some broad themes have emerged since the vote and may carry over to other markets. Learn more about what investors need to know on the impacts of Brexit.
At times of high uncertainty, the dissemination of information can create more confusion than clarity. The downside of today’s media model has been on prominent display in the days since voters in the United Kingdom cast their Brexit vote, expressing a wish to depart the European Union. In the aftermath, analysts began to project a wide range of separations occurring within regions and countries. It was as if the map of Europe were heading back to its standing of 400 years ago.
The UK has voted to leave the European Union after 40 years of membership, defying the expectations of most market participants and ignoring the warnings from the International Monetary Fund and other leading economists regarding the negative impacts on trade. Market reaction was swift, with the pound falling to a 30-year lows and a “risk-off” trade rippling across the global markets. While the UK leave vote (“Brexit”) has generated volatility and a flight to safety trade in the short term, it has not altered our longer term outlook on global markets.