Investors buy gold out of fear that the economic and political infrastructure we count on when we buy stocks and bonds is degrading. And gold booms inevitably end with a bust. The better strategy may be to build a reasonably sized position in diversified commodities, including gold; play close attention to sound entry points; and rebalance religiously.
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Concerns about excess government debt and inflation have increased interest in gold and raised its price. Gold is a commodity that behaves more like a currency, providing no investment return beyond price fluctuation. Gold's high price undermines its protective characteristics, making it more vulnerable to declines as monetary policy normalizes.
Real estate can play an important role in a well-diversified portfolio. Current valuations support allocations to private real estate vehicles versus public real estate vehicles. Furthermore, current risk-return expectations favor investments in opportunistic real estate over core real estate.
Private equity investing is not without its challenges. However, long-term returns argue for exposure to this asset class for sophisticated investors. The most important considerations are structure of the investment program, access to top-tier performers, and knowledge about emerging private equity firms.
The author makes the case for investment in transportation companies, citing increasing global trade, the outsourcing of increasingly complex supply chains to third parties, the rise of e-commerce, the fuel and environmental efficiency of railroads, and infrastructure upgrades of mass transit systems.
While most investments are driven by economic supply and demand, the performance of managed futures is driven by market factors, such as price persistence, volatility, and price dislocation. This provides benefits for portfolio diversification in a world of unpredictable market events.
Tail risk can be reduced by improving a portfolio's overall risk-return characteristics. Often this approach will blend several distinct strategies: broader diversification, volatility-based risk management, and drawdown control, perhaps combined with active management strategies such as managed futures or low-beta equities.
Valuation-tilted investment strategies offer many benefits of cap-weighting – broad diversification, low costs, transparency and modest turnover – plus the benefit of the value-premium phenomenon. And unlike traditional passive approaches, these strategies incorporate all stocks, differentiate across the valuation spectrum, and respond to changes in valuation dispersion.
Studies show that "emerging" hedge fund managers tend to outperform their larger, more established brethren. However, this additional alpha should not blind investors to the need for proper operational due diligence, say the authors, who suggest practical tips to ensure meaningful due diligence and risk mitigation.
Researchers demonstrate that a portfolio with a specific beta constraint can be improved by moving toward a leveraged bond position. When that is permitted, replacing a specific beta target with an acceptable "beta range" adds the flexibility needed to achieve even better returns.