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Investors have been looking for a recession amidst rising interest rates and expectations for slowing growth, but continued growth in much of the economy and resilient investment performance in 2023 has made for a very murky economic puzzle going forward. Exogenous factors such as geopolitical instability, deglobalization, and continuing risk of a U.S. government shutdown add complicating risk factors to the economic outlook.

President Joe Biden’s executive order targeting U.S. investments in certain industries in China has raised questions about its impact on global markets and investment portfolios. In examining its potential effects, NEPC’s Senior Investment Director, Jennifer Appel, shares her insights on what the executive order means for investors. She also provides perspectives on Chinese private markets, China’s debt levels, the high unemployment rate and uncertain economy, and the long-term views on investing in China.

Private equity faces a crossroads. Looking at a challenging economy, the industry plans to turn its attention inward to current portfolio companies. From this 2023 BDO Private Capital Survey Report, learn where the private equity industry plans to invest capital and create value; how larger and smaller funds are deploying capital differently; how portfolio companies are experiencing staffing shortages and leadership skill gaps; how organic value creation is taking center stage; and how fund managers are changing their perspectives on viable exit paths.

While the banking stress has largely subsided after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, there’s expectations of uneven trajectories of economic growth and inflation that will continue to drive market volatility. Learn what this will mean for asset allocation in this Investment Perspective.

The inflationary vortex has been the result of several forces—some unforeseen or unforeseeable—spiraling upward. In this forecast, the focus is on the three catalysts that are expected to impact tomorrow’s inflation outlook: the U.S. labor market, China’s economic and demographic evolution, and the role of the green energy. Between these themes, there are important linkages and investment portfolio positioning to consider.