Bond Outlook 2017

Given the expectation for the U.S. economy to grow at a modest pace for the eighth year in a row, the risk of the U.S. economy or inflation becoming “overheated” in 2017 remains low. The Fed will likely move the federal funds rate higher twice in 2017, once in the first half and again late in the year. There are still important headwinds to consider, like a stronger dollar that will hamper trade for large multinational companies and continued geopolitical risk. Although the bond market has recently seen heightened volatility and the indication is for rising interest rates, investors are cautioned against becoming overly pessimistic about bonds.