Successful investing is often seen as the ability to consistently and accurately make predictions about the economy, markets and specific securities. In reality, success comes less from predicting the future with blinding accuracy and more from selecting securities and vehicles that perform well when an investment thesis proves correct and perform OK when the thesis proves wrong.
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Investors must be aware of the liquidity risk inherent in each asset class, establish a methodology to monitor and measure the liquidity risk premium of each asset class, and factor that into decisions about the appropriate mix of liquid and illiquid investments needed to serve their particular situation.
High-frequency trading has been the focus of public and regulatory attention since the flash crash of May 6, 2010. Crash-related events showed that equity markets may be vulnerable to strategies facilitated by trading technology. As a result, regulators in the United States and Europe are increasing requirements and oversight for high-frequency trading.
While diversification remains the cornerstone of modern portfolio theory, many diversifying investments followed the direction of the equity markets when they collapsed during the recent financial crisis. This led many investors to suspect that their asset allocation frameworks needed refining. An analysis suggests these investors may be right.
Despite the natural volatility of the stock market, three themes unfolding over the next decade should benefit equity investors: innovation in technology, healthcare and energy; the rise of developing nations and their demand for consumer goods; and global expansion of trade in goods and services.
Donors are reassessing their giving to maximize impact and to ensure their money is being utilized effectively and efficiently by the non-profit organizations they support. Meantime watchdog organizations are grading the non-profit community and posting their ratings online.
The combination of an enhanced European-level policy response, fiscal austerity and structural reform at the national level, plus a more broad-based and secure economic recovery, should bring normalization to the Euro-area sovereign debt crisis by 2012. But if one or more of these expectations is not realized, the crisis may intensify.
Whole life and universal life insurance have been hit especially hard by continued low interest rates. As a result, carriers are introducing products that increasingly shift the risk of future product performance to the consumer. Because of these risks, consumers must make the effort to understand what is behind the assumptions presented by insurers.
We recently have taken an increasing interest in housing and housing-related investment opportunities. While we cannot state with certainty when the recovery will come, we see a road towards redemption and investment opportunities while the market gradually improves.
Indexed universal life insurance provides a crediting rate tied to the growth of an equity index. With the potential for an enhanced yield and a guaranteed minimum crediting rate, indexed universal life may be an attractive life insurance option, particularly in the current low interest rate environment.