The "can" that policymakers have been kicking ineffectually down the road for the past few years may finally kick back in 2012 and compel positive, long-term structural change. That said, we are facing another year of sharp market volatility and a continued short supply of quality yield.
The tone heading into 2012 is cautious, and the year is likely to be one of continued rolling crises. But the U.S. economy has come far and is on much firmer footing than it was in 2008. It is our view that, moving through 2012, the U.S. economy will continue on a path of recovery, while we recognize the need for investors to be agile and diligent.
This essay is devoted to understanding how two key investment principles – a long-term equity time horizon and diversification – have performed in past periods of severe economic dislocation. Analysis demonstrates that maintaining these principles has proven extremely valuable, particularly in periods of volatility.
The new regulatory requirements stemming from the passage of Dodd-Frank will certainly be a costly addition to the reporting framework of the alternative investment industry. However, this new era of heightened regulatory and compliance procedures also brings the potential benefits of financial stability and investor protection.
An attorney/entrepreneur makes the case for investing in commercial claims. Investors in this specialty finance sector supply capital to companies to pursue their claims and hedge the risk of loss and, in return, receive a percentage of the claim proceeds.
Proposals to reduce federal debt have largely missed the mark. That is certainly the case when it comes to suggestions to replace tax-exempt municipal bonds with taxable alternatives or federally subsidized tax credit options. These alternatives not only produce much less in revenue for the US Treasury than most assume, they also result in a loss of local control, diminish access to jobs]producing capital, and put taxpayers on the hook with debt gguaranteesh reminiscent of the subprime mortgage era.
As the European debt crisis has evolved, shifts in sentiment have caused dramatic swings in capital markets; swings not easily characterized by underlying investment fundamentals. This uncertainty has driven Italian bond yields to dangerously elevated levels while the yield on German one-year notes turned negative – hardly signs of a healthy economic environment.
Global wealth has increased to $231 trillion from $195 trillion in 2010, led by growing wealth in South Africa, India, Australia, Chile, and Singapore. This study of world wealth analyzes trends across nations and over time, including the life cycle link between wealth and age, household wealth, and prospects for personal wealth.
Europe has entered a new stage of the debt crisis, as funding stress in the banking sector has risen to extremes. The bond spreads of Belgium, Austria and France have risen to 290, 150 and 155bps respectively, record highs and 5 to 6 standard deviations above norm. The current trends may be unsustainable if left unchecked for more than a few weeks.
With the right combination of proven technology, built-in controls, and informed human judgment, family offices can implement a risk management framework essential for meeting the wealth preservation and performance needs of families made wary by the 2008-2009 financial crisis.