2024 Market Surprises and Themes

Since 1986, Byron R. Wein gave his views on a number of economic, financial, and political surprises for the coming year. By “surprise,” Byron defined it as an event that the average investor would only assign a one out of three chances of taking place but which he believed had a better than 50% likelihood of happening. Paying homage to Byron’s annual “10 Surprises” in this video, NEPC’s Phillip Nelson and Tim McCusker discuss their own predictions for 2024—their five market themes for 2024: cost of capital, magnificent 7, U.S. fiscal debt, artificial intelligence, and geopolitics.

Download the article for more insights on the market themes that NEPC believes will influence the investment landscape, impacting asset values, sentiment, and capital market dynamics.