2019 Mid-Year Outlook: Navigating an Extended Cycle

All the major asset classes have delivered solid returns so far this year, even in the face of intensifying geopolitical tensions and slowing global growth. Looking at the second half of the year, expect the global growth slowdown to persist, with some geographic divergence. A backdrop of lower rates, moderate inflation, and fiscal and monetary policy actions should help extend the long expansion. However, the trade disputes present the biggest risk and could weaken the outlook.