A year ago, consensus calls were for looming recession and continued Fed cuts. Instead, economic progress has held steady, labor markets are in better balance, AI’s influence is seemingly everywhere, and inflation is edging bumpily toward the Fed’s target of 2%. As we enter the back half of the year how will markets, interest rates, and the economy...
Given the impact of the back-and-forth tariffs and the U.S. Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), the risks of creating a bout of inflation or a bout of economic slowdown (or both) are very real. The uncertainty, market gyrations, and indications of a double-digit market correction at some point during 2025 are also creating tremendous angst....