With the International Monetary Fund and most analysts ratcheting down global growth forecasts, no end in sight for Europe’s fiscal and financial challenges, and a looming fiscal cliff in the United States, there is considerable hope that China, the world’s second largest economy, can remain an engine of global growth. Only Chinese growth his slowi...
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The fourth quarter 2012 issue of Global Foresight features a discussion of the recent QE3 (quantitative easing) announcement by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and the related inflation and market implications, along with a discussion of the current geopolitical overlay.
The upcoming election is as much about how we address fiscal issues as it is about the pace of the remedy; at the center is the debate over taxes and the size of government.
Current U.S. fiscal policy, if not modified before year-end, is on track to deliver a $600 billion economic headwind in 2013 (the equivalent of 4 percent of U.S. GDP), while the 2012 presidential and congressional elections add another layer of uncertainty to an already complex and politically challenged situation.
Equity markets around the globe took a breather from the prior six months’ impressive run-up. Since the 2011 low on October 4, 2011, the MSCI World Index had rallied 22% by the end of March 2012. A mild pull-back is thus nothing unusual. However, the financial market optimism exhibited in the first quarter of 2012 has been tainted with a dose of un...
hat a difference a new year makes. Fueled by massive liquidity injection from the European Central Bank (ECB) and expectations of additional easing from central banks around the globe, stocks raced out of the starting gate and left bearish sentiment in the dust.
The catastrophic earthquakes/tsunamis in Japan, and the uprisings in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) understandably dominate today’s news. Japan is clearly an enormous human tragedy, as well as one with economic consequences. The events in both of these regions have created significant global uncertainty affecting everything from gasoline ...
As we briefly review 2011, one thing is apparent: corporations generally had a better year than politicians, job seekers or investors. Despite 2011’s economic volatility, companies delivered better earnings than the consensus had forecast last January. Yet despite solid corporate profitability, macro uncertainties kept stocks under pressure for mos...
Aggresive government policies may jump-start the U.S. economy, but longer-term risks remain. We suspect investors will be happy to say goodbye to the last decade during which investment returns in most asset classes were far below historical norms. As we begin this new decade, we are optimistic about one important issue: equity prices are not at th...
The world continues to ride the same train of global imbalances. While short-term solutions have allowed us to arrive at the next station, few are attempting to address the long-term issues. We believe that capital markets will continue to assail the weakest links in the financial system, which, hopefully, instills the required discipline for polic...
Julius Rosenwald, the organizational and merchandising genius responsible for the extraordinary growth of Sears, Roebuck & Co., had five children, the youngest of whom was William. When Julius passed away in 1932, he left a single organization which was responsible for the oversight and management of his children's affairs and assets. In 1946 Willi...
A profile of the Whittier Trust Company.
Fox interview with Matthew Davidson (Kaplan family) and David Patterson (Choate family), from their of offices in New York City.
Harris Associates LP was founded in 1976 by six investment professionals (Joe Braucher, Roger Brown, Peter Foreman, Victor Morgenstern, Myron Szold, and Ralph Wanger) who believed that delivering successful investment results for clients required a consistent investment philosophy, a commitment to superior investment research and a high level of cl...
Fox interview with the Donahue family and Harry Sichi in Pittsburgh at Harry's office.