Tail risk can be reduced by improving a portfolio's overall risk-return characteristics. Often this approach will blend several distinct strategies: broader diversification, volatility-based risk management, and drawdown control, perhaps combined with active management strategies such as managed futures or low-beta equities.
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The hedge fund industry is reinventing business models and best practices to address regulatory changes and investor demands for enhanced fund transparency, liquidity, and efficiency. Investors, fund managers, and regulators are looking to third-party administrators to provide objective risk assessment and reporting.
Charity analysis is key to helping charities to become better at what they do. Through scrutiny and reflection, charities can identify their strengths and weaknesses, find out what works and what does not, and determine how to improve. They also can use analysis as an opportunity for independent validation and a tool to raise their profile with fun...
The U.S. economy lacks clear drivers of sustained growth, and there is no "quick fix" for the housing and structurally high unemployment situations. While there is much debate about what the federal government can and cannot do to change this dynamic, it is hard to see any real solution other than a gradual, often volatile recovery pattern over sev...
It will take years for state and local governments to return to pre-recession fiscal health. And yet, despite ongoing struggles, financial risks appear to be stabilizing. The mechanisms that state and city issuers have in place – particularly the balanced budget requirement, powers of taxation, and independent treasury management – are working as i...
The debt issues faced by the developed world, macro imbalances, and the unpredictability of global policy actions make this an especially uncertain environment. However, the Fed continues to make low-risk assets very unappealing. Overall, global equities appear reasonably priced in light of the paltry real returns on bonds.
This summary report of the second quarter provides a high-level view of global economic data as well as global and U.S. economic trends. In addition, it examines individual market segments, including U.S. fixed income, U.S. equity, global equity, international equity, hedge funds, private equity, and real assets.
Increased use of modern networking technologies, including social media, is creating new forms of participation, shifting power from producer to citizen and building customer sovereignty. For corporations and organizations, entry into the digital society rests on new economic principles, rules of play, and collaborative business models.
Private foundations face risk scenarios such as breach of contract, fiduciary liability, mismanagement of assets, wrongful acts of trustees, employment practices liability, and even possible kidnapping or extortion of trustees. To protect themselves and the foundation, directors and trustees should insist on appropriate insurance coverage.
The congressional compromise is one small step toward U.S. fiscal solvency. Investors can preserve purchasing power by favoring countries with strong finances, such as Brazil, Canada, Germany, and Mexico; investing in developing nations with strong growth prospects; purchasing commodity-based real assets; and not believing lawmakers who promise cha...
Index-based global portfolios may offer a more efficient way to capture exposure to developed and emerging markets than having separate portfolios for each of the two. By consolidating these two market segments into a single integrated portfolio, investors benefit from lower portfolio turnover and reduced operating costs.
The second quarter played out close to expectations with weak market returns, few unanticipated shocks, and investor worries never escalating to panic. Expectations for capital market returns are now lower, although emerging markets offer growth for patient investors, real assets are a hedge against further monetary devaluation, and the environment...
While some people are crying out that the U.S. economy is dead or dying, the economy itself seems to be protesting otherwise. Look for continued slow but steady growth in the United States and globally, with commodity prices stabilizing and Japanese supply chain worries easing. But policy and market action are needed to restore investors' confidenc...
Standard & Poor's downgrading of the U.S. AAA credit rating, combined with market volatility stemming from the deepening sovereign debt crisis in Europe, are likely to exacerbate the volatility in what has become an increasingly fragile market and macroeconomic environment. The current soft patch could easily morph into a recession.
The world continues to work through a long-term structural shift of economic and political influence to a group of emerging economies, most notably China and India, while the developed world fights the hangover of more than a decade of excessive spending and debt accumulation. These long-term structural changes should drive patterns of economic gro...