We believe one of the most important economic developments to monitor is whether the U.S. economy can wean itself off government stimulus before bond vigilantes take the matter into their own hands. In short, we are in the midst of a cyclical recovery that could be overshadowed at some point by the longer term structural challenges.
Successful investing is often seen as the ability to consistently and accurately make predictions about the economy, markets and specific securities. In reality, success comes less from predicting the future with blinding accuracy and more from selecting securities and vehicles that perform well when an investment thesis proves correct and perform ...
As the financial world grows increasingly integrated and jurisdictions share ever more information, taxpayers who continue to hold undeclared taxable accounts are at much greater risk of being discovered. The new voluntary disclosure program may represent the best chance to come clean with the IRS.
Allowing private debt to rise has been an easy short-term solution, but the countries of Western Europe, the United States and Japan now have to address the internal conflicts hidden by rising debt. Taking corrective action earlier would be easier while creditors are still friendly, but a broader financial crisis may be needed to spur such action.
Euro area countries need to coordinate their economic policies better to prevent macroeonomic imbalances. The proposed set of policy indicators would identify such imbalances and indicate action to be taken if thresholds are too high or low. But this system has structural problems related to timing, response and proactive planning.
Despite the natural volatility of the stock market, three themes unfolding over the next decade should benefit equity investors: innovation in technology, healthcare and energy; the rise of developing nations and their demand for consumer goods; and global expansion of trade in goods and services.
This historical study suggests that monthly rebalancing appears to have minimal or no benefit in terms of end-of-year portfolio values except in years of high volatility. A look at rebalancing a 60/40 portfolio either monthly or annually from 1960 through 2009 showed an average annual difference between the two strategies of only 8 basis points.
This comparison of ultra-short duration fixed income funds with money market and short-term bond funds helps investors understand the nuances of ultra-short duration funds and, thus, make an informed decision of whether to include these investments in their portfolios.
Like cost-benefit analysis in the for-profit world, social return on investment provides guidelines that can help charitable organizations to think more strategically about outcomes and show accountability. But if SROI is to be a successful tool, analysis indicates its principles need to be applied with greater rigor.
The ongoing trends of urbanization and wealth generation in Asia, and the investment opportunities these trends create, make Asia worth a serious look by investors. Increasing consumption trends are in their infancy and may last 10 to 20 more years.
Heightened market volatility is emerging as the new framework for investment decisions. Suggestions for succeeding in this environment include focusing on a dual-asset allocation approach, taking into account a greater number of worst-case scenarios, assessing liquidity and leverage carefully, and looking for volatility-related opportunities.
Directors and officers at private companies have reason to be concerned about potential U.S. securities exposures, leading savvy private firms to adjust their internal compliance and governance structures to more closely resemble those of their public counterparts. They also are taking a closer look at their D&O liability insurance programs.
The FTC is seeking input on this report, which proposes safeguards for data gathered online and offline from consumers. The three main areas addressed are privacy by design in all business practices, simplified privacy choice for consumers and greater transparency related to company data policies.
The role of commodities in a strategic portfolio has not changed much during the past 40 years and, indeed, not in the 22 years of the Tangible Asset Program portfolio. In this paper, Gresham Investment Management explains why it believes commodities will continue to provide diversification benefits to a portfolio regardless of the roll yield regim...
This report from Credit Suisse examines historical trends for philanthropy during economic downturns and explores the effects of the current recession on funders and non-profits. It also provides a series of recommendations for philanthropists and their advisors on grantmaking during the downturn. While based on U.S. data, many of these recommendat...