In 2020, we see a slightly better economic growth environment but modest capital market returns relative to the stellar gains of 2019. The global economy and markets will take two steps forward as stimulus measures lead to firming global growth, but policy uncertainty will cause markets to periodically take a step back. The U.S. election will come ...
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The pursuit of forecasting what opportunities and obstacles lie ahead takes added importance when looking at a new year and new decade to come. What follows are some thoughts about the opportunities and challenges before us, along with the identification of significant trends that will guide our analysis and portfolio recommendations. In addition, ...
The familiar cliché that hindsight is 20/20 seems particularly apt as we step into the year 2020 and look back on the decade of the 2010s. Throughout the past 10 years, we returned time and time again to principles and themes that we considered vital for success not just in this decade, but any decade. Revisiting the core principles and themes, whi...
Open dialogue between parents and children and, specifically, the creation of a family contract can promote responsible use of digital devices. With the help of a discussion guide and a sample contract, families can learn to prepare a contract that works for them. The process of working together builds trust, incorporates multiple perspectives...
Hackers and cybercriminals are becoming increasingly sophisticated with their attacks. With more intelligent and connected devices, as well as the importance of a person’s digital identity, cyber insurance is a vital component of an individual or a family’s coverage.
The insurance marketplace conditions are changing throughout the U.S., particularly for those with homes and other property in catastrophe-prone locations. The results outlined in this study highlight factors to consider when devising an approach to protect family members, properties, and reputational concerns in the face of current and future thre...
As part of the investment review process, there is the identification of key areas of focus or themes that will drive investment returns over the immediate term. This quarterly update highlights market and economic considerations relevant in the context of enhancing risk-adjusted outcomes, beginning with evolving global growth dynamics.
Climate change occurs slowly over time, which may make it an easy risk factor for investors to ignore. Recent studies suggest that climate change will have a negative economic impact on long-term global GDP. Over the shorter term, investor concerns about global warming may be priced into their assessment of stocks and bonds. As with any long-term s...
Much of the trade conflict between the U.S. and China can be traced to China’s desire to be a technological power. It is difficult for China to do much more than play catch-up in established technology like semiconductors, where improvements are incremental. Still, emerging technologies such as AI, robotics, quantum computing, and next-gen IT...
In this exclusive chat with Mellody Hobson, the President and co-CEO of Ariel Investments, speaks candidly about the importance and value of diversity in finance—how being color brave can improve business and society at large. Mellody shares personal stories and lessons learned from her investment career, including the disconnect tha...
The commodities market appears to be recovering, but will it continue to improve throughout 2020? Find out which economic factors will drive—or sink—the asset class.
Direct indexing has been called the ETF killer, ETF 2.0, and a catalyst that will bring an end to commingled investment vehicles. But to make proper use of all its benefits, the script must be flipped on the narrative of direct indexing to show not only the importance of customization but also that its value comes from understanding how and when to...
In this U.S. election year there are not only the current administration's tax reform to consider, but also those of the Democratic presidential candidates. With the possibility of a new president on the horizon, significant changes to the tax code may be on the way.
Determining a tax-exempt strategy in a changing municipal landscape requires careful planning for investors to reduce risk and overcome other challenges such as limited access to bonds and volatile interest rates. Learn the reasons behind why it’s important for investors to examine their tax-exempt allocations and see how a professionall...
Despite reduced return expectations in 2020, municipals should remain a valuable building block of an investor's portfolio due to their attractive tax-adjusted yields, diversification benefits, and improving credit characteristics. For investors in high tax brackets, municipals are a great place to get it.