It appears that uncertainty and volatility are going to be riding with us for a while. There are big risks, to be sure, but big opportunities as well, and the key is to have capital available to capture those opportunities, which means that you have to avoid meaningful losses during the really rough times. It will take prudence and commitment to em...
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Returning risk appetite in combination with currently oversold equity and commodity markets could end up bringing a strong relief rally. This rather positive but still realistic scenario should put long short equity and emerging market funds (directional strategies) in the best position to outperform other strategies. Managed futures should perform...
Deutsche Bank is still optimistic on stocks, especially those with a history of growing dividends. In fact, the average corporate dividend yield is actually higher than the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries, and that alone should enable equities to outperform bonds. Specifically, they are skewing their portfolios toward the U.S. and emerging markets...
We remain in a cyclical bull market for equities. As has been the case in recent weeks, the European situation will be a periodic negative for U.S. investors. The risk of it turning into a 2008 Lehman-style, global contagion, however, is relatively low. Nevertheless, one chief investment officer is closely watching systemic risk indicators for any ...
Investors who prefer a less volatile loan return may favor the U.S. loan market. Less risk-averse investors may find the potential for higher loan returns in the European loan market appealing as they may feel the additional spread premium offered in that market compensates for the additional macroeconomic and market technical risk.
Risk assets are likely to stay weak while uncertainty persists. Investment committee members see this gradually creating a buying opportunity because, whatever the outcome for Greece, they believe the ECB will use overwhelming force to protect all other Euro countries, allowing markets to recover.
Rockefeller Capital Partners Investment Research Analyst Jessye M. Ball reports on the views of Asian hedge fund managers after a recent trip to the region.
We reiterate five themes that serve to protect portfolios to some degree and offer some upside potential: gold as a hedge against currency realignments, oil as a hedge against Middle East instability, exposure to the global consumer over the long term, exposure to Asia (ex-Japan) over the long term, and exposure to relative value hedge managers who...
Atlantic Trust Private Wealth Management views the risk of recession as low in the short term. Gas prices have garnered a great deal of attention and do put a dent in the economy’s potential growth rate in the months ahead. However, a sustained increase in the price of oil well above current levels would be necessary to create a recession. The bigg...
The sluggish pace of growth on a worldwide basis coupled with heightened international geopolitical risk leaves the U.S. economy more susceptible to exogenous shocks. Though the probability of the U.S. slipping back into recession has fallen, Fiduciary Trust remains cautious on economic growth going forward.
We continue to favor high income strategies in an environment where traditional bond yields are extremely low and dividend payouts are generally stingy. U.S. equity markets are fairly valued. Internationally, emerging market equities and debt have been strong performers in 2012 and have further long-term upside. We remain on the sidelines in Europe...
While the stress has not been completely removed from the system, today’s housing prices provide a meaningful opportunity for the patient investor. Median home prices have historically exhibited a strong relationship with median household income. Although this relationship became quite stretched during the real estate bubble, it has since reverted ...
Although another round of quantitative easing now looks less imminent given the recent economic strength, investors still expect Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to come to their rescue with QE3 should economic growth falter. However, the flexibility for QE3 becomes more limited if crude oil and gasoline prices continue to escalate into the su...
Analysis shows alternative strategies and funds are far from equal in the diversification benefits they provide. Investors who want to use alternatives to reduce portfolio risk are wise to explore the performance characteristics of individual funds as well as consider how they are likely to perform under varying conditions.
Whether a family office wants a global custodian to be the sole asset servicer or the gatekeeper of data from aggregators and brokers, the role of a global custodian goes far beyond safekeeping. This paper makes the case for global custodians, pointing out their strengths in risk management, operational efficiency, accuracy and access to data, and ...