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Reporters and Wall Street strategists alike have stumbled upon a new catch phrase—“The Great Rotation.” This follows other recent favorites including “The Financial Crisis,” “Great Recession” and “New Normal,” each meant to encompass a broad definition of a particular market environment. The mos...

Most families, like many portfolio managers, invest a great deal of time and energy into understanding the potential return streams from their investments. This paper explores the benefits of allocating some of that focus and energy to better assessing the risks that they may be assuming. The benefits of taking a more structured view of risk can ex...

In the second quarter 2013 issue of Global Foresight, Rockefeller & Co. provides an outlook for a range of asset classes. David Harris, Chief Investment Officer discusses the current status of the equity markets. Mark Iannarelli, Director of Fixed Income, and Matthew Gelfand, Senior Economist, explain how bond portfolios are at risk of a cyclic...

This guide sheds light on many of the issues facing taxable investors today and provides strategies for surviving and thriving in the new world of higher taxes.

The author discusses long-term investing for the wealth expansion portfolio – assets available after shorter-term needs are met – to capitalize on medium-term market dislocations and opportunities as well as longer-term economic, social and geopolitical trends and themes. Trends from the past 25 years are discussed as well as five inves...

This paper outlines a new core investment strategy for equity investors by combining three themes into one overall process that provides higher reward per unit of risk and a significant reduction in extreme risk/losses.

Certain signals suggest that individuals are prepared to return to higher risk, higher reward markets. The combination of conditions in bond markets and the long-term outlook for the global economy have some analysts calling for what has been coined ‘The Great Rotation’ – a transformational shift of capital from bond&nb...

This study finds optimism returning to Europe’s real estate industry. Sentiment among industry leaders about the prospects for their businesses is more positive than at any time since 2008, despite the uncertain macroeconomic outlook. Equity for investment in prime commercial real estate is expected to increase, but bank debt is predicted to ...

Investors and investor representatives are often uncomfortable with managed futures because they believe that it is a "zero sum game." This belief endures in spite of managed futures' consistent long-term returns with lower historical volatility than asset-backed securities such as stocks. This white paper looks at the benefits of fut...

While several key provisions of the ACA take effect in 2013, the broader market impact is likely muted in the near term. Markets are forward-looking, and stocks have had ample time to digest the legislation since it was passed in 2010. Equities showed little movement when the Supreme Court upheld its constitutionality in June, and though the recent...

A business development company or BDC is a type of investment enterprise that typically lends debt capital to and/or invests in the equity securities of small to mid-size private businesses. This White Paper provides an in-depth introduction to BDCs, including their history, common practices, and risks.

While private equity serves as a compelling addition to a well-structured portfolio, it presents investors with unique challenges in the areas of cash flow management, diversification and liquidity. Implementing private equity secondary funds can help offset some of these challenges while presenting investors with favorable return characteristics.

While the outcome of many global issues remains uncertain, we believe the risk/reward equation favors taking well-calculated, above-average risk. Investor psychology can change at any moment. When the market returns its focus on individual company fundamentals, we expect significant alpha will be generated by portfolios that own high-quality compan...

This latest quarterly issue of “ViewPoint” features an interview in which the bank’s chief investment officer discusses his outlook for the global economy and capital markets for 2012. He notes that the U.S. should exhibit positive growth, boosted by capital spending, and that a growing U.S. economy should keep the global economy ...

Despite continued concern about sovereign debt, particularly in Greece, the bank’s 11-member investment committee is encouraged by improved business surveys in the U.S. and some emerging markets as well as tentative improvements in Europe. Here, committee members assess the outlook for fixed income, equities, commodities, real estate, and currencie...